Simulations Confirm Observations of 2015 India/Pakistan Heat Waves

The press release about our recent paper in the BAMS report (both CASCADE and EASM projects) quantifying the human influence on last year’s deadly heatwaves in Pakistan and India.

The report (and our 2 papers) can be downloaded from here:

The principle finding is that the human influence on these events are very large when considering the heat index, a bicubic function of temperature and relative humidity that is associated with human health and discomfort. The human influence is still there but lower when considering only temperature.


Some of the press coverage in India (all more or less the same as the PR)


Here are scatter plots of temperature and humidity for the two events to make this post less boring. The histograms show the change in distribution between the actual and counterfactual simulations of heat index.